The Japan Times - Most stocks rise as traders assess outlook for Mideast deal

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Most stocks rise as traders assess outlook for Mideast deal
Most stocks rise as traders assess outlook for Mideast deal / Photo: Kevin Dietsch - GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP

Most stocks rise as traders assess outlook for Mideast deal

Equities mostly rose Tuesday as investors assessed the chances of a Middle East peace agreement, though Donald Trump and Israel's Benjamin Netanyahu mixed signals over ending Israel's attacks in Lebanon caused uncertainty.

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While Wall Street ended with more tech-led records, Asia's recent rally stuttered, while attention also turned to the release of US jobs data at the end of the week.

The US president said he had held talks with the Israeli prime minister and a "very good call" through unnamed representatives with the Hezbollah militant group.

Trump wrote on Truth Social that Netanyahu agreed to call off a military raid on Beirut, while the Lebanon-based group said "all shooting will stop".

Lebanon's US embassy said Hezbollah had accepted a US proposal for a "mutual cessation of attacks".

But the Israeli leader appeared to cast doubt on any truce, while a report in the US news outlet Axios said Trump called him "crazy" and accused him of putting Iran peace talks at risk.

In a separate post, the US president said "talks are continuing, at a rapid pace, with the Islamic Republic of Iran."

But Iran's news agency Tasnim reported Tehran had suspended dialogue with mediators in protest of Israel's expanding offensive in Lebanon against Iran's ally Hezbollah.

In a message carried by state TV, the Revolutionary Guards intelligence body said "crossing the red lines in Lebanon and Gaza" would mean "direct war".

Tasnim reported that Iran would keep a block on the Strait of Hormuz -- through which about a fifth of global oil normally passes -- and, with its allies, "activate other fronts", including the Bab al-Mandab Strait at the entrance of the Red Sea.

Earlier Monday, the US leader had told CNBC that "I don't care" if the Iran peace talks collapsed, adding that "frankly, I thought they started to get very boring".

Iran's comments sent oil prices surging as much as seven percent Monday before they pared the gains. Both main contracts fell on Tuesday.

Despite uncertainty hanging over the crisis, Asian equities mostly advanced after a slow start to the day, helped by another surge in tech firms.

Seoul, which has been at the forefront of the rally this year, reversed a morning retreat to end at another all-time high, while Hong Kong jumped more than two percent thanks to a more than 10 percent jump in tech giant Tencent. Ecommerce titans Alibaba and JD.com also enjoyed huge gains.

Shanghai, Singapore, Taipei, Manila, Mumbai, Bangkok and Jakarta also rose but there were losses in Tokyo, Sydney and Wellington.

London, Paris and Frankfurt climbed at the open.

"Expectations for a US-Iran agreement remain fluid," Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds at Glenmede said. "Recent strikes and conflicting statements from both sides highlight that key details remain unresolved."

The largely positive day came on the back of records for all three main indexes on Wall Street that came as chip colossus Nvidia rocketed more than six percent after unveiling a powerful laptop chip for Windows machines.

Traders are also awaiting the release of key US jobs figures on Friday, which should provide a fresh snapshot of the US economy as rising energy prices sends inflation rising.

They will also be the first under new Federal Reserve boss Kevin Warsh after he last month replaced Jerome Powell, who was constantly rebuked by Trump for not cutting interest rates enough.

And Stephen Innes at SPI Asset Management said the reading could be crucial.

"It is not simply a jobs number. It is a test of whether the benefits of the AI boom are spreading into the broader economy or remaining concentrated among a relatively small group of companies and investors," he wrote.

"Strong payrolls would reinforce the idea that AI investment is beginning to generate broader economic momentum. But it would also reinforce the case for higher-for-longer rates. Weak payrolls would raise a far more uncomfortable question: has Wall Street’s boom become detached from Main Street's reality?"

- Key figures at around 0715 GMT -

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 0.6 percent at $91.60 a barrel

Brent North Sea Crude: DOWN 0.6 percent at $94.42 a barrel

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.3 percent at 66,734.24 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 2.2 percent at 25,964.52

Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.4 percent at 4,075.10 (close)

London - FTSE 100: UP 0.2 percent at 10,363.68

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1649 from $1.1632 on Monday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3478 from $1.3458

Dollar/yen: UP at 159.71 yen from 159.67 yen

Euro/pound: UP at 86.44 pence from 86.43 pence

New York - DOW: UP 0.1 percent at 51,078.88 (close)

Y.Kimura--JT