The Japan Times - Stocks wobble as US inflation and spending ease

EUR -
AED 4.048988
AFN 71.653352
ALL 90.233152
AMD 397.442801
ANG 1.973656
AOA 1011.960474
ARS 1704.382464
AUD 1.628051
AWG 1.984235
AZN 1.878376
BAM 1.951036
BBD 2.220877
BDT 137.145087
BGN 1.95499
BHD 0.415753
BIF 3312.570815
BMD 1.102353
BND 1.419813
BOB 12.873388
BRL 6.246268
BSD 1.102607
BTN 103.857962
BWP 15.412153
BYN 3.303388
BYR 21606.119128
BZD 2.217684
CAD 1.573224
CDF 2551.947633
CHF 0.924565
CLF 0.027875
CLP 1097.084206
CNY 7.354624
CNH 7.358449
COP 3659.778945
CRC 494.093407
CUC 1.102353
CUP 26.463016
CVE 110.401089
CZK 24.405329
DJF 195.910612
DKK 7.476493
DOP 66.917109
DZD 151.273137
EGP 58.978161
ERN 16.535295
ETB 177.534385
FJD 2.483877
FKP 0.834353
GBP 0.834294
GEL 2.855525
GGP 0.834353
GHS 12.925133
GIP 0.834353
GMD 81.574515
GNF 9764.096088
GTQ 8.429301
GYD 230.683524
HKD 8.648676
HNL 29.708842
HRK 7.531237
HTG 144.594927
HUF 364.882711
IDR 20101.848202
ILS 3.545943
IMP 0.834353
INR 103.905536
IQD 1668.962467
IRR 2109614.310597
ISK 136.615035
JEP 0.834353
JMD 174.224538
JOD 0.781612
JPY 176.073379
KES 143.361434
KGS 96.384792
KHR 4497.600695
KMF 492.752185
KPW 992.118101
KRW 1473.366503
KWD 0.34335
KYD 0.918844
KZT 491.483094
LAK 24836.013852
LBP 98715.713034
LKR 366.73942
LRD 187.400397
LSL 18.663257
LTL 3.254962
LVL 0.666803
LYD 7.104708
MAD 10.981314
MDL 20.028816
MGA 5059.800729
MKD 61.545168
MMK 2314.774623
MNT 3973.283421
MOP 8.911016
MRU 44.759659
MUR 52.494468
MVR 16.980358
MWK 1913.685217
MXN 20.433771
MYR 4.504329
MZN 70.444469
NAD 18.663252
NGN 1481.088858
NIO 40.570694
NOK 10.552253
NPR 166.167676
NZD 1.994849
OMR 0.424561
PAB 1.102607
PEN 3.75135
PGK 4.97327
PHP 70.506912
PKR 304.914924
PLN 4.405592
PYG 6843.288459
QAR 4.01725
RON 5.348511
RSD 117.465677
RUB 91.30685
RWF 1627.073053
SAR 4.160787
SBD 8.926521
SCR 15.372648
SDG 663.069392
SEK 11.106249
SGD 1.418953
SHP 0.830054
SLE 25.409646
SLL 23115.795624
SOS 631.101139
SRD 41.327623
STD 22816.481805
STN 24.472237
SVC 9.648438
SYP 14332.794295
SZL 18.663243
THB 37.34225
TJS 10.171722
TMT 3.858236
TND 3.316433
TOP 2.654202
TRY 55.49477
TTD 7.484722
TWD 36.257938
TZS 2920.045358
UAH 50.132575
UGX 4553.879273
USD 1.102353
UYU 44.690863
UZS 13271.228337
VES 1006.315196
VND 28358.582532
VUV 132.985681
WST 3.098252
XAF 655.957
XAG 0.022553
XAU 0.000284217451
XCD 2.979165
XCG 1.987211
XDR 0.779421
XOF 655.957
XPF 119.331742
YER 260.762006
ZAR 18.713826
ZMK 9922.503926
ZMW 22.543641
ZWL 354.957222
SSP 6555.09164
MXV 2.294737
  • RYCEF

    0.1000

    19.81

    +0.5%

  • VOD

    -0.2500

    16.33

    -1.53%

  • CMSC

    -0.2800

    20.12

    -1.39%

  • RBGPF

    -2.0000

    65

    -3.08%

  • RIO

    -0.2500

    94.16

    -0.27%

  • BTI

    -1.2000

    54.85

    -2.19%

  • NGG

    -0.3000

    74.94

    -0.4%

  • GSK

    -0.3500

    49.35

    -0.71%

  • BCE

    -0.4200

    20.14

    -2.09%

  • CMSD

    -0.3400

    19.93

    -1.71%

  • BP

    -0.9100

    43.52

    -2.09%

  • RELX

    0.1700

    33.24

    +0.51%

  • BCC

    -0.6200

    75.97

    -0.82%

  • AZN

    -1.9400

    164.21

    -1.18%

  • JRI

    0.0000

    10.77

    0%

Stocks wobble as US inflation and spending ease
Stocks wobble as US inflation and spending ease / Photo: Michael M. Santiago - GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA/AFP/File

Stocks wobble as US inflation and spending ease

Stock markets seesawed Friday as data showed a key US inflation indicator easing in December, opening the door for the Federal Reserve to slow its rate-hike campaign.

Text size:

But the data also showed that consumer spending dipped further, raising concerns about whether the US economy will be able to dodge a recession.

Wall Street's three main indices opened mixed, then pushed higher only to fall back and then turn positive.

In Europe, the three main indices also wobbled in afternoon trading but finished with meagre gains.

Markets had risen the day before after official figures showed the US economy had grown more than expected in the fourth quarter of last year.

Fresh data on Friday showed the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, rising 5.0 percent last month from a year ago.

"The key takeaway from the report is that it showed a continued moderation of inflation pressures," said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare.

But, he added, consumer prices were "still too high for the Fed's liking... and will keep the Fed in a vigilant, inflation-fighting mode".

Investors hope the Fed, which meets next week, will lift interest rates by just 25 basis points, having slowed its pace of increases last month following four straight bumper hikes aimed at bringing inflation down from multi-decade highs.

The US economy grew 2.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2022, exceeding analyst estimates with help from resilient consumer spending, which is a key economic driver.

But Friday's data also showed household spending dipped a further 0.2 percent between November and December.

Analysts believe spending is set to slow further in the coming months.

"The latest data offer among the first tangible signs that the economy's main engine is slowing," said Oren Klachkin of Oxford Economics.

While the data did not eliminate recession fears, it nonetheless offered a reason for optimism that the US central bank will manage to lower inflation without tipping the economy into a major downturn.

- 'Goldilocks scenario' -

Central banks spent last year ramping up borrowing costs to battle soaring prices and any sign of strength in the economy was taken as a bad sign that policymakers would continue to tighten policy sharply, threatening companies' profits.

The European Central Bank is also holding a monetary policy meeting next week, with analysts expecting a 50-basis-point rate increase.

Concern towards the end of the year focused on a possible global recession caused by the restrictive policies, with several observers warning that top economies were likely to suffer a so-called hard landing.

Thursday's US growth figures showed a slowdown in 2022 from the previous year but a better-than-expected performance. That was described as a "Goldilocks scenario", where the figures are neither too good nor too bad.

Yet lingering jitters persist of a possible downturn.

"There being a time lag between interest rate hikes and the effect on the economy, it remains difficult to predict how much of the Federal Reserve's actions so far are having the desired dampening effect," noted Interactive Investor analyst Richard Hunter.

"More pessimistic investors are suggesting that the latest quarter of growth could be the last before previous hikes take full effect, potentially pushing the economy towards recession this Spring."

Investors are also keeping a nervous eye on earnings season, which has thrown up some disappointing figures and downbeat forecasts, including from chip titan Intel.

Asian markets finished higher ahead of the latest US inflation data. Shanghai was closed for the Lunar New Year break and reopens next week.

- Key figures around 1630 GMT -

New York - Dow: UP less than 0.1 percent at 33,974.78 points

EURO STOXX 50: UP 0.1 percent at 4,178.01

London - FTSE 100: UP less than 0.1 percent at 7,765.15 (close)

Frankfurt - DAX: UP 0.1 percent at 15,150.03 (close)

Paris - CAC 40: UP less than 0.1 percent at 7,0097.21 (close)

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.1 percent at 27,382.56 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: UP 0.5 percent at 22,688.90 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: Closed for a holiday

Euro/dollar: DOWN at $1.0860 from $1.0892 on Thursday

Pound/dollar: DOWN at $1.2386 from $1.2403

Euro/pound: DOWN at 87.67 pence from 87.78 pence

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 129.90 yen from 130.22 yen

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 0.9 percent at $86.68 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 1.0 percent at $80.18 per barrel

burs-rl/jj

K.Nakajima--JT