The Japan Times - Kenya police in massive show of force on protest anniversary

Thousands of Kenyans took to the streets in June 2024 against economic hardship and corruption, eventually storming parliament to force the cancellation of new taxes.

It was a watershed moment with young Kenyans ignoring traditional ethnic dividing lines, and June 25 has become an annual day of protest as frustration continues with the government of President William Ruto.

But they paid a heavy price, with at least 127 people killed across the two years of protests, according to a police watchdog, as security forces shot people with near-total impunity.

Police were taking no chances on Thursday, with a slew of roadblocks shutting off traffic on key roads around Nairobi, and schools and businesses shuttered.

AFP journalists saw long lines of police wagons, horse patrols, barbed wire around government buildings, and large numbers of plainclothes officers.

"They know people are not afraid of police in uniform. But they are scared of these plainclothes cops because they can just kill you and go," said Moses, 31, a motorbike-taxi driver.

Many were too afraid to protest, with one young woman telling AFP: "I don't want to die, I'm the oldest. I just want to work."

- 'Organised terror' -

Ruto said this week that Kenyans had a right to demonstrate, but warned against anyone "mobilised to destroy property or cause chaos".

Yet politicians have frequently deployed masses of hired "goons" -- armed men sent to attack opponents -- who are blamed for most of the looting and robberies during protests.

AFP saw scores of them operating alongside police during last year's protests, and they have recently been used to attack everything from opposition rallies to civil rights meetings in churches.

Ruto's former deputy Rigathi Gachagua, now a bitter rival, warned young Kenyans not to protest on Thursday, saying: "I plead with you: stay at home. The state has organised terror against Kenyans."

At one roundabout, 25-year-old Kasim Ramadan gathered with four or five friends, determined not to be intimidated.

"There are way more police than usual. They already tear gased us before 8am," he told AFP.

"But we're not scared. We will protest. We are here for the ones who died in the parliament."

- 'Clearly unpopular' -

Ruto has long been associated with violence -- he was charged with crimes against humanity by the International Criminal Court for inciting attacks during mass election unrest in 2007-08, a case that was dropped after alleged witness-intimidation.

He has since reinvented himself as a business-oriented leader and a favourite on the international scene, recently hosting French President Emmanuel Macron for a major African summit.

But his promises of economic transformation have failed to register for many Kenyans, who accuse him of a string of broken pledges, corruption scandals, and abductions targeting critics.

Ruto is "clearly very unpopular with many Kenyans, especially the Gen Z" youngsters, said political analyst Gabrielle Lynch.

She said he is "using security and intelligence services to make Kenyans worried about speaking out against the state".

But he has also attempted something of an olive branch, last week announcing that more than 1,100 victims of violence would receive compensation.

"No other administration in the past since post-independence Kenya has made payouts to victims of protests," said political analyst Javas Bigambo, praising Ruto's ambitious plans to revamp social housing, health insurance and infrastructure.

With elections due in August 2027, Ruto also has the advantage of a fractured opposition.

"His competitors are only criticising and not offering an alternative pathway," said Bigambo.

But many fear those elections will see politicians mobilising ever-larger number of goons to protect themselves and attack opponents.

"I'm worried about next year... We know from history that once you've mobilised those groups, you can't always control them afterwards," said Lynch.

K.Yamaguchi--JT